Upbound Valuation

UPBD Stock   18.60  0.30  1.59%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Upbound Group has a current Real Value of USD21.96 per share. The regular price of the company is USD18.6. Our model measures the value of Upbound Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.07 %, return on equity of 0.13, and Shares Outstanding of 57.91 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Upbound's valuation include:
Price Book
1.5671
Enterprise Value
2.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
1.6176
Price Sales
0.2391
Forward PE
6.9541
Undervalued
Today
18.60
Please note that Upbound's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Upbound Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Upbound's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Upbound stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Upbound Group. Since Upbound is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Upbound Stock. However, Upbound's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.6 Real  21.96 Target  28.57 Hype  18.58 Naive  16.92
The real value of Upbound Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Upbound Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Upbound's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Upbound's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
21.96
Real Value
24.49
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Upbound Group helps investors to forecast how Upbound stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Upbound more accurately as focusing exclusively on Upbound's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.761.061.37
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0518.5821.11
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.971.141.32
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.0028.5731.71
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Upbound's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Upbound's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Upbound's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Upbound we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Upbound Cash

81.67 Million

Upbound Total Value Analysis

Upbound Group is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 2.8 B with market capitalization of 1.09 B, debt of 1.58 B, and cash on hands of 60.86 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Upbound fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.8 B
1.09 B
1.58 B
60.86 M

Upbound Investor Information

About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Upbound Group last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. The entity had 5:2 split on the 2nd of September 2003. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Upbound's historical financial statements, Upbound Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities217 M120.4 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable

Upbound Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Upbound has an asset utilization ratio of 163.06 percent. This indicates that the Company is making USD1.63 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Upbound Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Upbound Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Upbound's financial statements, Upbound Group is performing exceptionally good at the moment. It has a great risk to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Upbound's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
15.5 M
Current Value
13.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
87.3 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, Upbound's Operating Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.650.55
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Upbound profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Upbound Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Upbound utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Upbound's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Upbound over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Upbound Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Upbound is estimated to be 1.0567 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.76 to a high of 1.37. Upbound's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.48. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Upbound Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Upbound is projected to generate 1.0567 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Upbound earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Upbound EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Upbound's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Upbound, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Upbound Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Upbound's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Upbound is estimated to be 1.0567 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.76 to a high of 1.37. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Upbound Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.76
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.0567
1.37
Highest

Upbound Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Upbound's value are higher than the current market price of the Upbound stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Upbound is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Upbound's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
791.85%
0.0
1.0567
1.48

Upbound Ownership Allocation

Upbound Group shows a total of 57.91 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Upbound Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Upbound to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Upbound Group. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Upbound Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly two million three hundred fifty-six thousand seven hundred sixty-three invesors are currently shorting Upbound expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Upbound Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.32 B. Net Income was 123.48 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.19 B.

Upbound Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Upbound's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Upbound and how it compares across the competition.

About Upbound Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Upbound's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Upbound. We calculate exposure to Upbound's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Upbound's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.4 B1.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.05  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.55  0.65 

Upbound Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.02 Billion

Upbound's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Upbound's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Upbound can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Upbound represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Upbound, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Upbound Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Upbound's Dividend Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Payout Ratio is expected to grow to 0.80, whereas Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.65. . The current year's Earnings Yield is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Retained Earnings are forecasted to decline to about 947 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid94.6 M99.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.77  0.80 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.68  0.65 
There are various types of dividends Upbound can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Upbound shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Upbound Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Upbound pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Upbound by the value of the dividends paid out.

Upbound Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Upbound does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.6
Forward Price Earnings6.9541

Upbound Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Upbound Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Upbound we look at many different elements of the entity such as Upbound's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Upbound, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Upbound's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Upbound's worth.

Complementary Tools for Upbound Stock analysis

When running Upbound's price analysis, check to measure Upbound's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upbound is operating at the current time. Most of Upbound's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upbound's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upbound's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upbound to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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